Sports wagering can be very profitable if a person know the strategies often the “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money bettors use will be knowing when NOT to help bet.
Here’s a best case in point. We analyzed the particular Western side Las vegas vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Virginia had typically the edge in the match. However , My spouse and i also understood that there are a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not gamble on this particular game. Here is our analysis I released ahead of the game:
West Va versus Louisville
This video game possesses all the signs of being one involving the greatest games regarding the year, together with both teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, using West Virginia coming back again from staying down massive in the 4th one fourth to winning around overtime, however,.
So what’s the action seem like this year?
In the event this video game were turning into played with the natural field, West Las vegas will probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since typically the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented move. They will haven’t lost since April. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they misplaced to California Tech. In the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 ROUTE games.
These are some very amazing stats that tilt the scales in favor connected with WVU intended for tonight’s game. Plus, typically the additional added bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This might not seem to be like much, but in a shut match-up similar to this, that more point could make the difference between some sort of push in addition to a loss.
But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s stats are almost as good since WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular past 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home activities.
In addition to if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in the home since Dec 17, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. five points per game in your own home, while averaging only letting go of 15. 6 points per game from home. In case a person decided not to do the math concepts, that means given that their very own last home damage they are yet to averaged beating their very own opponents by simply about 34 factors per game.
Even greater outstanding, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. ยูฟ่าเบท stands for Louisville has beaten the spread, on average, by 13 factors per sport at home since the year 2003.
Wow… how can you not in favor of that?
Here’s the way…
Nearly all of those stats were being developed during the july 2004 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They’ve had recent games by which they have already only scored twenty eight, 23, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Ohio Saint. or Michigan. They will had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
The bottom line is the fact that this is still some sort of close sport to get in touch with. Nevertheless what I look for is West Virginia’s security to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s zero factor to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest recommendation will be to lay off that game and not bet at all. There usually are better video games this end of the week with more simple strengths.
The final score in this game was Louisville 44, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to gain some sort of punt for a good TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s border wasn’t so big which they may possibly still win right after making so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this particular video game, people really serious with regards to gambling saved money many people can put to better use on future games.