Sports gambling can be extremely profitable if you know the techniques this “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make cash. One of the greatest secrets that wise money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a great illustration. We analyzed typically the Western side Florida vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Las vegas had often the edge in the activity. Nevertheless , My partner and i also understood that there initially were a great deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not bet on this particular game. Here is my own analysis I released before the game:

West Las vegas versus Louisville

This game provides all the signs of being one regarding the most effective games involving the year, together with equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, each along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, together with West Virginia coming again from becoming down large in the 4th 1 / 4 to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport seem like this year?

In the event that this game were as played at a good natural field, West Las vegas would probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since typically the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented move. They haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they missing to California Tech. On the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These types of are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor regarding WVU to get tonight’s online. Plus, the added in bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This can not look like substantially, but in a in close proximity match-up like this, that excess point will certainly make the distinction between some sort of push in addition to a loss.

But what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling may be almost as good since WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their very own past 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS within their previous 10 home activities.

And if https://www.ufabet168.info/%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%A1%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%A3ufabet/ leaning toward WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at home since 12 , 18, 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. some points for every game in your own home, while hitting only quitting 15. six points for every game with home. In case you did not do the mathmatical, that means considering that their particular last home loss they also have averaged beating their own opponents by about thirty four things per game.

What’s more remarkable, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten this get spread around, on average, by 13 points per activity at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s the way…

Most of those stats were being developed during the 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They’ve got recent games through which they’ve only scored twenty-eight, 3, 24 points. That video games weren’t against Ohio E. or Michigan. They will were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

The end result is that will this is still a new close match to call up. Although the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s safety to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s no explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest endorsement is to lay off this particular game and certainly not guarantee at all. There are usually better activities this quick with more clear-cut benefits.

The final score on this game was Louisville 44, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to give back a new punt for a good TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s edge weren’t so big that they can may still win following producing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this kind of game, people severe with regards to gambling saved money they can offer better make use of on future games.