Sports wagering is often very profitable if an individual know the secrets often the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make money. Most significant secrets that clever money bettors use can be knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a great example of this. We analyzed the West Va vs. Louisville match, and concluded the fact that West California had this edge in the match. Yet , My spouse and i also recognized that there was a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not gamble on this game. Here is my own analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Florida versus Louisville

This activity offers all the indications of being one connected with the greatest games of the year, together with each teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, both using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, having Rest of the world Virginia coming backside from being down major in the independence day 1 / 4 to winning within overtime.

So what’s the overall game appearance like this year?

If this match were getting played from a new fairly neutral field, West California might probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since typically the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented roll. Many people haven’t lost considering April. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. On the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last on the lookout for activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 STREET games.

These kind of are some very outstanding stats that tilt often the scales in favor involving WVU for tonight’s game. Plus, the included benefit is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This could not seem to be like significantly, but in a shut match-up this way, that excess point might make the difference between the push together with a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics may be almost as good like WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own very last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home games.

And if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at home since Dec 17, 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for each game in your house, while averaging only letting go of 15. 6 points for each game on home. In case an individual didn’t do the math, that means given that their particular last home loss they already have averaged beating their very own opposing team by way of about thirty four points per game.

Even greater extraordinary, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten this pass on, on average, by way of 13 things per online game at home considering that 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s how…

Many of those stats were being accumulated during the july 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They already have possessed recent games through which they also have only scored 36, 23, 24 points. And www.aceperhead.com/blog/bookie-101/the-bookie-software weren’t against Kentkucky St. or Michigan. They will were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The end result is of which this is still the close video game to call up. But the things i look to get is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s simply no factor to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to core 20’s. My honest recommendation will be to lay off this kind of game and definitely not gamble at all. There will be better game titles this weekend break with more simple advantages.

The final score on this game was Louisville 44, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to return a punt for a TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s fringe wasn’t so big that they may still win immediately after building so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this kind of video game, people serious with regards to gambling saved money many people can offer better make use of on upcoming games.