Sports gambling can be very profitable if anyone know the strategies the particular “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make cash. One of the primary secrets that clever money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT in order to bet.
Here’s a perfect example. I analyzed often the Western Florida vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Va had the edge in the match. Nevertheless , We also realized that there was a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not guarantee on this specific game. Here is my personal analysis I released ahead of the game:
West Las vegas versus Louisville
This online game offers all the indicators of being one regarding the best games involving the year, along with each teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, each with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, with Western Virginia coming rear from appearing down huge in the fourth one fourth to winning around overtime.
So what’s the game appearance like this year?
When this sport were appearing played at a good basic field, West Virginia might probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since often the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia will be on an unprecedented roll. These people haven’t lost considering that Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they lost to Virginia Tech. Through the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 ROAD games.
These types of are some very amazing stats that tilt typically the scales in favor involving WVU for tonight’s gaming. Plus, the added in reward is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This might not look like quite a bit, but in a in close proximity match-up like this, that extra point might make the big difference between a push in addition to a loss.
But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s figures are really almost as good like WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their very own previous 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home game titles.
Plus if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your house since Dec 17, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for each game at your home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. 7 points per game from home. In case an individual don’t do the mathmatical, that means considering his or her last home decline they’ve averaged beating their very own competitors by simply about thirty four items per game.
What’s more impressive, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the pass on, on average, by simply 13 factors per online game at home considering that the year 2003.
Wow… how can an individual go against that?
Here’s exactly how…
Almost all of those stats were built up during the 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They already have got recent games where they are yet to only scored 36, twenty-three, 24 points. And the online games weren’t against Oh E. or Michigan. They had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.
The end result is of which this is still a good close activity to contact. Nevertheless the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to core 20’s. My honest advice is definitely to lay off that game and not guarantee at all. There will be better video games this weekend break with more clear-cut benefits.
UFABET168 on this game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to give back a good punt for a TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s edge wasn’t so big which they could still win immediately after doing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this video game, people serious with regards to wagering saved money many people can put to better employ on future games.