Sports playing can be extremely profitable if anyone know the tricks this “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make dollars. The most significant secrets that clever money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a perfect illustration. My spouse and i analyzed often the Western world Florida vs. Louisville game, and concluded the fact that West Florida had typically the edge in the activity. Nevertheless , We also recognized that there was a whole lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not guarantee on that game. Here is my analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Va versus Louisville

This sport provides all the signs of being one associated with the most effective games involving the year, along with the two teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, the two along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, having Western world Virginia coming again from becoming down huge in the 4th fraction to winning throughout overtime, however,.

So what’s the action appear like this year?

In the event that this activity were appearing played from some sort of neutral field, West Virginia would certainly probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since this game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented move. They haven’t lost since March. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they misplaced to Va Tech. On the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 STREET games.

These are some very outstanding stats that tilt the particular scales in favor of WVU intended for tonight’s games. Plus, the included bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This can not seem like substantially, but in a close up match-up like this, that excess point will certainly make the variation between some sort of push and a loss.

But some of us wonder what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their own past 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS into their very last 10 home games.

Together with if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in your house since December 17, 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. some points per game at your home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. 8 points for each game with home. In case an individual decided not to do the figures, that means since their last home reduction they’ve averaged beating their particular opposing team by about thirty four items per game.

In addition outstanding, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten this spread, on average, by 13 items per activity at home considering that 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

The majority of those stats had been built up during the 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They have already got recent games through which they already have only scored 36, 12, 24 points. And the video games weren’t against Oh Stycken. or Michigan. บอลสเต็ป were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The bottom line is that will this is still a new close game to call up. Nevertheless what I look regarding is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s simply no reason to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to mid 20’s. My honest recommendation can be to lay off this specific game and not gamble at all. There happen to be better activities this end of the week with more simple advantages.

The final score of this game was Louisville 46, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for a TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s edge weren’t so big they will could still win immediately after producing so many mistakes. By not betting on this particular activity, people really serious about wagering saved money they can offer better make use of on future games.