Sports betting are often very profitable if a person know the secrets the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make income. One of the biggest secrets that sensible money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a perfect case in point. My partner and i analyzed the Western world Virginia vs. Louisville game, and concluded that will West Virginia had often the edge in the activity. Yet , I also realized that there was a good deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guess on this particular game. Here is my own analysis I released in advance of the game:

West California or Louisville

This video game offers all the indications of being one involving the most effective games of the year, along with the two teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, having Western side Virginia coming back from appearing down big in the final one fourth to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the action search like this year?

If this match were turning into played in a good fairly neutral field, West California might probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the particular game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented rotate. 토토사이트 haven’t lost considering Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they dropped to California Tech. Inside the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 ROUTE games.

All these are some very outstanding stats that tilt typically the scales in favor associated with WVU with regard to tonight’s gaming. Plus, this added in bonus offer is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This might not look like significantly, but in a in close proximity match-up this way, that excess point will certainly make the distinction between a new push together with a loss.

But you may be wondering what about Louisville?

Louisville’s stats may be almost as good because WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their previous 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS within their very last 10 home activities.

Together with if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your house since Dec 17, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. five points for every game in your house, while averaging only leaving behind 15. six points per game from home. In case you failed to do the mathematics, that means considering that his or her last home damage they’ve averaged beating their own opponents by about thirty four factors per game.

What’s more impressive, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten typically the divide, on average, simply by 13 items per online game at home considering 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Almost all of those stats were being developed during the june 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They have already got recent games in which they already have only scored 35, 23, 24 points. These game titles weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. They will were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The end result is of which this is still some sort of close sport to call. Yet the things i look to get is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s zero factor to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to core 20’s. My honest suggestion will be to lay off this kind of game and not gamble at all. There will be better game titles this weekend with more simple strengths.

The final score in this game was Louisville 46, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back a good punt for some sort of TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s border wasn’t so big that they may possibly still win immediately after building so many mistakes. By not betting on this particular match, people significant with regards to sports betting saved money that they can put to better make use of on forthcoming games.