Sports bets can be extremely profitable if an individual know the strategies often the “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that smart money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a best illustration. I analyzed typically the West Florida vs. Louisville sport, and concluded the fact that West California had this edge in the sport. Nonetheless I actually also recognized that there was a lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not gamble on this particular game. Here is our analysis I released prior to the game:

West Florida or Louisville

This online game features all the indications of being one of the best games involving the year, together with both teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, together with Western side Virginia coming backside from getting down huge in the next quarter to winning within overtime, however,.

So what’s the game seem like this year?

When this sport were appearing played in a fairly neutral field, West California would likely probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since this game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented throw. They haven’t lost considering July. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. Inside the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 ROUTE games.

These kinds of are some very outstanding stats that tilt the scales in favor involving WVU intended for tonight’s online game. Plus, the particular additional bonus offer is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This might not seem to be like much, but in a close up match-up such as this, that special point might make the change between a good push plus a loss.

But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are usually almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In UFABET , Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS within their previous 10 home activities.

And even if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in your house since Dec 17, 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. four points for each game in the home, while hitting only giving up 15. 7 points for each game from home. In case you don’t do the figures, that means due to the fact their last home loss they also have averaged beating their very own oppositions by about 34 factors per game.

What’s more amazing, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten this get spread around, on average, by means of 13 factors per sport at home considering that the year 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Many of those stats were being piled up during the june 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They also have possessed recent games through which they are yet to only scored twenty eight, twenty-three, 24 points. These types of game titles weren’t against Iowa Stycken. or Michigan. They will were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

Basically that will this is still a new close sport to call up. Nevertheless the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s defense to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s not any explanation to think WVU can’t have one to the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest endorsement is definitely to lay off this game and definitely not guarantee at all. There will be better video games this end of the week with more clear-cut advantages.

The final score on this game was Louisville forty four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to come back the punt for a good TD. The results was that West Virginia’s edge had not been so big that they can could still win immediately after building so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this kind of match, people really serious about gambling saved money that they can put to better use on coming games.