Sports wagering is often very profitable if anyone know the tricks the particular “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a perfect case in point. I actually analyzed this Western Florida vs. Louisville game, and concluded of which West Virginia had often the edge in the match. Nonetheless I also noticed that there are a great deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not wager on this kind of game. Here is my analysis I released before the game:

West Virginia or Louisville

This online game features all the indicators of being one connected with the most effective games regarding the year, together with the two teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, with West Virginia coming rear from becoming down big in the fourth 1 fourth to winning in overtime.

So what’s the action look like this year?

In the event that this video game were turning into played at a good neutral field, West California will probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented throw. They haven’t lost since Oct. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they shed to Virginia Tech. Inside the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These kinds of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the scales in favor associated with WVU with regard to tonight’s online. Plus, typically the added in added bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem to be like substantially, but in a close match-up similar to this, that special point can make the difference between the push and even a loss.

But you may be wondering what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are generally almost as good as WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own very last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home video games.

Together with if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at home since December 16, 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for every game in your own home, while averaging only letting go of 15. seven points every game at home. In case you did not do the math, that means given that his or her last home loss they have already averaged beating their competitors simply by about thirty four points per game.

What’s more outstanding, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten often the pass on, on average, by means of 13 details per video game at home since 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

The majority of those stats had been accumulated during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They already have had recent games through which they are yet to only scored 28, 3, 24 points. And the online games weren’t against Ohio Stycken. or Michigan. That they have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

Basically the fact that this is still a new close video game to get in touch with. But what I look for is West Virginia’s security to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s zero explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest endorsement can be to lay off this specific game and not necessarily gamble at all. There are better game titles this end of the week with more clear-cut advantages.

The final score on this game was Louisville forty four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to return the punt for some sort of TD. www.oncapan.com/bbs/partner_site/70 was that will West Virginia’s borders had not been so big that they can still win immediately after building so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this activity, people significant regarding wagering saved money they will can put to better employ on coming games.