Sports betting is often very profitable if a person know the techniques this “smart money” bettors use to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that smart money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a great case in point. My spouse and i analyzed the Western world Florida vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Va had this edge in the game. Nonetheless My partner and i also came to the realization that there initially were a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guess on this game. Here is the analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Virginia versus Louisville

This video game possesses all the signs of being one connected with the very best games of the year, using each teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, together with Western world Virginia coming back again from becoming down large in the final fraction to winning throughout overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport search like this year?

In the event that this game were as played with a good simple field, West Las vegas might probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the particular game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented spin. They haven’t lost since April. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they dropped to Virginia Tech. In the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 ROUTE games.

These types of are some very amazing stats that tilt typically the scales in favor connected with WVU intended for tonight’s online. Plus, this included bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This might not seem like quite a bit, but in a near match-up such as this, that more point might make the difference between a new push together with a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers may be almost as good while WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their particular past 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home game titles.

And even if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at your home since Dec 17, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. some points each game in the home, while hitting only stopping 15. 6 points each game from home. In case you don’t do the math, that means given that their very own last home reduction they also have averaged beating their very own opponents by simply about 34 items per game.

In addition outstanding, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the range, on average, by 13 things per online game at home considering 2003.

Wow… how can you not in favor of that?

Here’s exactly how…

Most of those stats ended up developed during the 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They already have got recent games that has they’ve only scored 28, 12, 24 points. That online games weren’t against Ohio Street. or Michigan. That they were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

The bottom line is the fact that this is still a good close match to phone. Nonetheless the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s no factor to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to middle of the 20’s. ufabet168.info/สมาชิก-vip-ufabet-premium will be to lay off that game and not wager at all. There happen to be better game titles this saturday and sunday with more simple positive aspects.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to return a punt for the TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s edge had not been so big that they can still win immediately after building so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this kind of sport, people critical about gambling saved money that they can offer better employ on coming games.