Sports betting can be very profitable if anyone know the secrets often the “smart money” gamblers work with to consistently make money. Most significant secrets that wise money bettors use will be knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a perfect illustration. We analyzed typically the Western world Las vegas vs. Louisville activity, and concluded the fact that West Las vegas had typically the edge in the video game. Nonetheless I also recognized that there were a whole lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not wager on this particular game. Here is my personal analysis I released ahead of the game:

West California or Louisville

This sport has all the indicators of being one regarding the most effective games regarding the year, with both teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, along with Western world Virginia coming backside from staying down major in the 4th one fourth to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game appearance like this year?

When this game were turning into played on some sort of fairly neutral field, West California would probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented spin. Many people haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they missing to Virginia Tech. Inside the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 ROUTE games.

These kinds of are some very outstanding stats that tilt this scales in favor of WVU with regard to tonight’s gaming. Plus, typically the added bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This could not look like significantly, but in a close up match-up like this, that excess point could make the distinction between some sort of push together with a loss.

But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics may be almost as good as WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their past 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home game titles.

Together with if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your house since Dec 16, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. five points every game at your home, while hitting only letting go of 15. six points every game with home. In case you failed to do the mathmatical, that means due to the fact their last home damage they have already averaged beating their competitors simply by about 34 factors per game.

Even greater amazing, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten this get spread around, on average, by way of 13 points per activity at home considering that the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Many of those stats had been established during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. สมัครแทงบอล have already got recent games where they are yet to only scored 36, 12, 24 points. That activities weren’t against Oh St. or Michigan. That they were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The end result is that this is still a close game to get in touch with. Yet what I look for is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s not any explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to mid 20’s. My honest suggestion is definitely to lay off this particular game and not necessarily bet at all. There usually are better game titles this end of the week with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score of this game was Louisville 44, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to gain a punt for a TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s fringe was not so big they will may possibly still win immediately after generating so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this game, people critical regarding wagering saved money many people can offer better make use of on upcoming games.