Sports bets are often very profitable if you know the techniques the particular “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that smart money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a ideal example. I analyzed the Rest of the world California vs. Louisville sport, and concluded the fact that West Las vegas had the edge in the game. However , I also understood that there initially were a whole lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not gamble on this particular game. Here is my own analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Florida vs . Louisville

This video game possesses all the signals of being one associated with the ideal games regarding the year, together with the two teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, along with West Virginia coming again from staying down huge in the 4th 1 fourth to winning around overtime.

So what’s the action seem like this year?

When this video game were as played from a new natural field, West Las vegas will probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since often the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented spin. That they haven’t lost due to the fact Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they dropped to California Tech. On the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 PATH games.

All these are some very remarkable stats that tilt often the scales in favor of WVU for tonight’s gaming. Plus, this added benefit is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This could not appear like much, but in a close up match-up such as this, that spare point can make the variation between a push in addition to a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are generally almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own previous 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home games.

In addition to if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at home since January 16, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. four points every game in your house, while hitting only stopping 15. six points every game in home. In case a person failed to do the figures, that means considering that their very own last home reduction they’ve averaged beating their particular competitors by way of about thirty four details per game.

In addition outstanding, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten often the get spread around, on average, by means of 13 items per activity at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

ufabet168.bet ‘s precisely how…

Almost all of those stats had been developed during the 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They have already had recent games through which they are yet to only scored 35, 3, 24 points. That video games weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. Many people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

To put it succinctly that this is still a good close game to get in touch with. But the things i look for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest advice is to lay off that game and definitely not wager at all. There will be better video games this weekend break with more clear-cut benefits.

The final score of this game was Louisville 44, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back the punt for a good TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s fringe had not been so big they may still win soon after producing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on that video game, people serious regarding sports betting saved money many people can put to better use on coming games.