Sports gambling can be quite profitable if a person know the secrets and techniques the “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make funds. One of the greatest secrets that smart money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a best example of this. My partner and i analyzed often the Western Las vegas vs. Louisville activity, and concluded of which West Florida had often the edge in the sport. Nonetheless I actually also came to the realization that there are a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not bet on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released prior to the game:

West Florida vs . Louisville

This sport possesses all the indicators of being one associated with the ideal games regarding the year, having equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, with West Virginia coming rear from staying down big in the next 1 fourth to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport appearance like this year?

In case this game were being played with a good natural field, West Las vegas would probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since the particular game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if คาสิโนออนไลน์ will make sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented throw. Many people haven’t lost since Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they lost to Las vegas Tech. Inside the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 ROUTE games.

These types of are some very amazing stats that tilt typically the scales in favor involving WVU to get tonight’s game. Plus, this included added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This may not appear like significantly, but in a close match-up this way, that special point might make the big difference between a new push plus a loss.

But what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are really almost as good while WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their very own previous 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS within their last 10 home games.

In addition to if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your house since Dec 17, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for every game at your home, while hitting only quitting 15. six points each game at home. In case a person did not do the mathmatical, that means considering his or her last home loss they also have averaged beating their own opposing team by means of about thirty four factors per game.

In addition amazing, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten typically the pass on, on average, by simply 13 details per sport at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s how…

The majority of those stats were developed during the july 2004 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They also have acquired recent games where they have already only scored 35, twenty-three, 24 points. These activities weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. They will were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

Basically that will this is still a new close video game to contact. But what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to this low to the middle of 20’s. My honest professional recommendation will be to lay off this specific game and not really guarantee at all. There are usually better activities this weekend break with more simple strengths.

The final score of this game was Louisville forty four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to gain some sort of punt for some sort of TD. The results was that West Virginia’s borders was not so big that they could very well still win following making so many mistakes. By not betting on that sport, people critical with regards to gambling saved money these people can offer better use on coming games.