Sports playing can be extremely profitable if anyone know the techniques this “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make income. One of the primary secrets that smart money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a excellent example of this. My partner and i analyzed this Western Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that will West Virginia had often the edge in the game. Yet , https://www.ufabet168s.com/ and i also came to the realization that there have been a whole lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not wager on this game. Here is our analysis I released just before the game:

West California vs . Louisville

This game provides all the indications of being one associated with the very best games regarding the year, having both teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, having Western side Virginia coming again from being down large in the independence day fraction to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game appear like this year?

In the event this game were getting played at a new simple field, West California would likely probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented throw. They haven’t lost due to the fact July. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they misplaced to California Tech. On the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These are some very amazing stats that tilt the particular scales in favor of WVU to get tonight’s games. Plus, the additional added bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like significantly, but in a in close proximity match-up similar to this, that more point will make the big difference between the push and a loss.

But what about Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are usually almost as good as WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their past 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS within their last 10 home activities.

Plus if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since 12 , 18, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points each game in the home, while hitting only stopping 15. 7 points per game at home. In case anyone failed to do the math, that means considering their own last home decline they already have averaged beating their particular adversaries by way of about 34 points per game.

Even greater amazing, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten typically the pass on, on average, by simply 13 points per game at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s how…

Many of those stats were accumulated during the 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They have already experienced recent games by which they’ve only scored 35, 12, 24 points. These games weren’t against Oh E. or Michigan. Many people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

The end result is of which this is still a new close sport to get in touch with. Although what I look intended for is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s not any reason to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to core 20’s. My honest recommendation is definitely to lay off that game and definitely not guarantee at all. There usually are better game titles this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to go back the punt for the TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s edge weren’t so big that they could still win soon after producing so many mistakes. By not betting on this particular activity, people really serious regarding gambling saved money they will can offer better employ on approaching games.