Sports gambling are often very profitable if you know the tricks often the “smart money” gamblers work with to consistently make cash. Most significant secrets that smart money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a ideal example. I analyzed typically the Rest of the world Florida vs. Louisville match, and concluded of which West California had often the edge in the activity. Yet , I also understood that there were a whole lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not gamble on this particular game. Here is my analysis I released in advance of the game:

West California versus Louisville

This activity offers all the indicators of being one involving the greatest games associated with the year, together with equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, along with Western Virginia coming back again from being down huge in the next quarter to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the adventure look like this year?

In the event that this sport were being played in a basic field, West Florida will probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since typically the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented throw. That they haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they dropped to Florida Tech. In the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 HIGHWAY games.

These types of are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor of WVU intended for tonight’s gaming. Plus, often the added in reward is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This will likely not look like substantially, but in a close match-up like this, that extra point might make the change between a good push and even a loss.

But you may be wondering what about Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics may be almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own very last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS in their very last 10 home game titles.

Together with if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in your own home since 12 17, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points for each game in your house, while hitting only quitting 15. six points for every game with home. In www.ufabet168.info didn’t do the math concepts, that means considering their last home loss they’ve averaged beating their own competitors by about thirty four points per game.

What’s more extraordinary, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the particular range, on average, by means of 13 factors per game at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Many of those stats were being established during the 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They also have experienced recent games where they already have only scored twenty eight, twenty-three, 24 points. That online games weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. That they ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

The bottom line is of which this is still the close match to call up. But what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s simply no purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to the low to core 20’s. My honest recommendation is to lay off this game and not really guess at all. There usually are better video games this weekend with more simple benefits.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back a new punt for a good TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s border had not been so big they could very well still win after doing so many mistakes. By not betting on this specific activity, people serious with regards to gambling saved money these people can put to better apply on forthcoming games.